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At present, the global macroeconomic environment is still complex and changeable. Although the domestic economy has generally maintained a stable recovery trend, it still faces many challenges in the context of the global economic slowdown. Although the tension of international trade has eased, uncertainty still exists, and the operating pressure of some export-oriented enterprises has not been fundamentally alleviated, which has affected the market's expectation of overall economic growth to a certain extent, and then reflected in the trend of A-share market. In addition, recent fluctuations in some macroeconomic data, such as marginal changes in manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI), have also made investors more cautious in judging the economic prospects, which has become one of the deep-seated reasons for the lack of market confidence and the downward trend of the index after opening higher in the morning.From the technical analysis point of view, today's Shanghai Composite Index has formed a K-line shape with a long shadow line, and the trading volume has been enlarged, which indicates that there is greater pressure on the top and the market divergence has intensified. If tomorrow's index fails to effectively recover today's upper shadow line, and the trading volume continues to maintain at a relatively high level, the index may seek further support. In the short term, some important moving average positions below, such as 60-day moving average and 120-day moving average, will become key support areas. If the index can stabilize near these moving averages, and with the shrinking volume, the market is expected to enter the short-term shock consolidation stage, waiting for a new direction choice. On the other hand, if the index falls below these support levels quickly, it may trigger a new round of decline, dropping to near the previous low.Considering the current situation of market segmentation today, tomorrow's plate rotation will play a key role in the market trend. Although the financial sector changed in early trading today, it failed to continuously lead the market to rise. If the financial sector, especially the banking and securities sector, can rise again tomorrow under the impetus of favorable policies or expected improvement of its own performance, it is expected to stabilize the market index and drive the market sentiment to rebound. For example, if there are positive signals such as the improvement of net interest margin and the improvement of asset quality in the banking sector, it will attract capital inflows and provide solid support for the upward movement of the index.

At present, the global macroeconomic environment is still complex and changeable. Although the domestic economy has generally maintained a stable recovery trend, it still faces many challenges in the context of the global economic slowdown. Although the tension of international trade has eased, uncertainty still exists, and the operating pressure of some export-oriented enterprises has not been fundamentally alleviated, which has affected the market's expectation of overall economic growth to a certain extent, and then reflected in the trend of A-share market. In addition, recent fluctuations in some macroeconomic data, such as marginal changes in manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI), have also made investors more cautious in judging the economic prospects, which has become one of the deep-seated reasons for the lack of market confidence and the downward trend of the index after opening higher in the morning.Trend analysis of A shares on December 10, 2024 and market outlook for tomorrow.From the perspective of capital flow, if the market as a whole shows a rebound trend tomorrow, it is expected that some off-exchange funds will gradually flow in, especially the institutional funds that have been waiting and seeing in the early stage may increase the allocation of high-quality blue-chip stocks and leading enterprises in growth stocks. In the process of market decline, funds may flow from the high valuation plate to the low valuation defensive plate or the early oversold plate to seek hedging and arbitrage opportunities.

The tightness of funds has a key impact on the trend of A-share market. Recently, the overall market liquidity is in a relatively stable but not loose state, and the entry speed of incremental funds is relatively slow. After opening higher in early trading, due to the lack of sufficient follow-up funds, it is difficult for the market to maintain a high increase. At the same time, investors' mood changed greatly in the process of opening higher and then going lower in the morning. When the market opened higher, the optimism of the market briefly warmed up, but with the decline of the index, pessimism gradually gained the upper hand, which further aggravated the selling pressure of the market and formed a vicious circle, making it difficult for the index to obtain effective support and rebound during the decline.On the whole, on December 10th, 2024, the three indexes of A shares opened higher and went lower, which reflected the complexity and uncertainty of the current market. Tomorrow's A-share market will depend on the comprehensive effects of technical aspects, macro policies and news, plate rotation and capital flow. Investors should pay close attention to the changes of the above factors and make investment decisions prudently to cope with market fluctuations and changes.